NFL Mock Draft 6.0

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With the NFL Combine now over, and just waiting for more numbers from Pro Days, that could change a few things, this mock draft has quite a few changes to it compared to 5.0

Previous Mock draft grades: 38.125% accuracy, last 4 years combined, which would put me at 33rd most accurate according to Huddle Report. Brendan Donahue of Sharp Football is the most accurate over last 5 years, with 44.8% accuracy.

  • 2018: 32 of 96 – 33% correct
  • 2019: 29 of 96 – 30% correct
  • 2020: 36 of 96 – 37.5% correct
  • 2021: 50 of 96 – 52% correct (tied for 6th best)
Photo Credit: @BayDevin

The Jaguars need to bolster their offensive line to protect Trevor Lawrence. Cam Robinson has been franchised tagged for the second year in a row. Norwell and Cann are set to hit free agency, and RT is still up in the air with 2021 selection Walker Little.

Ekwonu is starting to be noticed as the consensus OT1, and can come in to play LT by moving Cam to RT.

Photo Credit: Unknown Artist

The Lions have made a few personnel moves to use more 4 down linemen as well as cutting Da’Shawn Hand and Trey Flowers.

Hutch has that toughness & never ending motor that Dan Campbell will very likely be in the draft room fighting to get him on his defensive line.

The Texans seem to have Laremy Tunsil on the trade block, so offensive line is the highest priority. Even if Tunsil is no traded or released, adding more blocking is a vital step to this rebuild.

Neal can take over for the possibly departing Tunsil or just play RT before transitioning over to LT in 2023.

Photo Credit: @FisherKDesigns

The Jets secondary was weak last season and is getting weaker with Marcus Maye heading to free agency. Making this not only BPA, but also a major need.

Hamilton is considered by most to be the “most talented player in this draft.” and will make the secondary immediately better.

Photo Credit: The Draft Network

The Giants offensive line is in shambles. Mainly the interior, but with both top tackles off the board, BPA becomes the priority.

It’s hard not to take Thibodeaux when you also need more pass rush help. Thibs and Ojulari could make a very fearsome duo.

The Panthers were ranked 31st in blocking last season. Luckily they have a great RT in place and under contract. LT needs a massive upgrade from Cameron Erving who was the starter last year and is a free agent.

Penning put on a show at the Senior Bowl and the combine, putting up a 9.96 RAS (Relative Athletic Score), making his stock soar. He’s tough and plays angry, tossing his opponents every chance he gets.

The Giants don’t necessarily need a corner with Bradberry and Jackson under contract. But Bradberry has a massive $21m contract that can be moved and is seemingly on the chopping block.

“Sauce” Gardner is a press-man corner with tremendous close ability, he has given up 0 TD’s in over 1,100 career snaps (entire college career) and QB’s have a 30% comp percentage when throwing his way. He is a bit aggressive with WR’s so he could get a few DPI’s called on him early in his career.

The Falcons have a lot of holes to fill on both sides of the ball, Ridley done for the year and maybe longer, WR is a massive need.

Garrett Wilson will not give you size mismatches, he is a terrific separator with a great route tree and has next level body control.

TRADE!

The Texans dish Deshaun Watson to Seattle for this pick and need to address the lack of a defensive line.

Walker is a tremendous player and shogun boards after having such a great National Championship game vs Alabama and a mind blowing combine, only to be overshadowed by his teammate Jordan Davis. Dane Brugler has been a staunch backer of Walker for quite some time.

LT is being held down by Becton, but RT has a vacancy with Morgan Moses heading into free agency.

Cross is young and still learning and needs to cut down on penalties, but would be a great addition on such a depleted offensive line.

The Commanders made a trade for Carson Wentz which doesn’t exactly take them out of the running for a QB in this draft, but is likely to be done in round 2. They need to give the offense more weapons.

London will have his pro day on 4/5/22 to assess a better understanding of his draft position. The perfect endzone target who has a lot of Brandon Marshall to his game.

The Vikings are losing both of last seasons starting CB’s, Patrick Peterson and Mackensie Alexander.

Stingley does his best work in press coverage. After an amazing freshman season, Stingley has suffered through a foot injury that shortened the last two seasons finally causing him to get surgery, he is still viewed as the best corner in the draft, medicals at the combine will determine where he sits. Tackles like Deion.

The Browns defense is losing both starting DT’s, as well as DE Jadeveon Clowney. So the DL is likely the biggest need come draft time.

Johnson can provide help to a lackluster defense that could barely create sacks last season. Johnson had 14 sacks and 9 TFL’s in his lone season with the ‘Noles.

The Ravens offensive line needs a little work, but so does their defense. Brandon Williams is set to hit free agency after a very lackluster 2021 season.

Davis set the combine on fire with an official 40 time of 4.78, and then a combine DL record, 10’3 broad jump. He will be instrumental in shutting down RB’s trying to come up the middle, but only playing in 40% of Georgia’s defensive snaps, could limit how high he goes. It’s time to bring back the days of the Goose.

The Eagles secondary really need help on the opposite side of Slay.

Trent McDuffie is a fantastic athlete who might put up some great numbers at the combine. He dominates in zone coverage and isn’t afraid to go in and make a tackle. He’s consistent with no glaring weaknesses.

With Kerrigan and Barnett hitting free agency, the Eagles will need to look at bolstering their pass rush back up. There are rumors Fletcher Cox might be dealt as well.

Ojabo is an absolute freak of an athlete and his football IQ is off the charts, but he’s raw. He has sky high potential and being next to Bosa could accelerate that potential.

The Chargers are losing Aboushi to free agency, so a guard is a pretty high on the priority list.

Zion raised his stock after his impressive performance during the senior bowl, and adding on to that with a tremendous Combine. He has only given up 3 sacks in his career (1 in 2021) on 2,000+ snaps.

Why Zion over Kenyon? RAS grade provided below:

The Saints need to find a QB. Taysom Hill is not the answer, and neither is bringing back Jameis Winston.

Pickett is the safest bet. He has small hands that have seemingly been fixed by wearing gloves, as his accuracy and ball handling have improved dramatically in his final season in Pittsburgh compared to his previous seasons.

The Eagles need to do something about their WR core. They have not done well in the past drafting this position with Reagor and JJAW, but finally scoring with Devonta Smith last year.

Olave has smooth route running skills, fantastic catch point, amazing hands and good speed to be a perfect #2. On the downside, he’s not going to break many tackles. Has 10 career broken tackles off of 176 receptions.

The Steelers will need a QB for the first time in 18 years. This could be answered in free agency or via a trade.

Malik Willis had a good Senior Bowl and his interviews, reportedly went very well at the Combine. He has a big arm and very athletic but has inconsistent timing & accuracy issues. Willis has the highest ceiling but also one of the lowest floors. He may not be ready to start at the beginning of the season, Steelers will need a bridge QB.

The Patriots have a huge void at LB that needs to be taken care of. Hightower & Collins are heading to free agency, and Van Noy was recently cut.

Lloyd has been compared to Titans legend, Keith Bullock by Ryan Roberts. He played inside and weakside for the Utes, he has a long frame and an excellent change of direction but has an issue with missed tackles (12.5% career rate) due to diving tackles that he’ll need to clean up.

Photo Credit: Unknown Artist

The Raiders need OL and DL help, as well as more help in the WR room. With the top OT’s off the board, they could try for a DT. Giving Carr more help to throw to filling the role that Ruggs left, helping Waller not stay double teamed 90% of the games would help the flow of the passing game.

Williams is the best at stretching the field in the last several years of the draft, he’s both quick and fast. Does a great job of changing speeds on routes to fool the corners. The ACL tear in the Natty is the only reason he’s available at this spot.

The Cardinals need an outside CB badly. Letting go of Peterson and then having free agent pick up, Malcolm Butler abruptly retire left a massive hole in the secondary.

Booth has long arms, controlled hip movement and has a great ability in tracking the ball with terrific speed, but his tackling is a huge concern. Although this season wasn’t been his best, he is still a tremendous cover corner that will fit best in a man heavy defensive scheme.

The Cowboys found a gem in Odighizuwa, but the interior defensive line is still in need of some desperate work.

Often overshadowed by the hulking Jordan Davis, Wyatt was still pretty dominant at Georgia and was able to show off during the Senior Bowl and combine to raise his draft stock. He fires off the ball, has great lateral range and chase down speed.

The Bills have invested a lot on the defensive line over the last several years. 3 edge’s in the 1st & 2nd round the last two years with Rousseau, Basham and Epenesa. With Addison and Hughes set to hit free agency, they can’t rely on Bashamor Epenesa to step up to fill that void.

Karlaftis is very powerful, technically refined and has tremendous handwork and a heavy bullrush which enables him to get by blockers. Karlaftis isn’t loved by the NFL as much as he is by Twitter, and Dane Brugler’s NFL sources say they grade him as a late 1st to early 2nd round.

The Titans have cut All-Pro guard Roger Saffold and starting center Ben Jones is heading to free agency, so offensive line is a pretty high priority since it is a major part of their offensive identity.

Linderbaum is the best center prospects in the last several years, he has only allowed 2 sacks in 2300+ career snaps… but being zone scheme specific could be a factor with how far down he will get drafted. He also lacks ideal arm length (31-1/8”) and will likely struggle in pass protection, his 75-5/8” wingspan is not ideal either. Since 2000, only 5 OL players have had shorter arms in the NFL.

The Buccaneers will need to improve their interior offensive line with the retirement of Ali Marpet as well as having Cappa and Jensen hitting free agency.

Green’s stock took a slight hit after a not so stellar combine. He started at 3 different positions on the line for the Aggies in 2021 and still only gave up 1 sack on 700+ snaps. Green is also very explosive off the line, being able to make contact first to get the upper hand on whoever he’s facing.

The Packers defensive front 7 is in need of an overhaul. ZaDarius Smith could be a cap casualty, the same as Preston Smith, and their ILB room needs more help.

Dean is fast and plays like a mad dog. He’s very physical and has a fantastic change of direction with a very high football IQ. Plays a lot like Falcons legend, Jessie Tuggle. At 5’11 with short arms and skipping drills to see vertical and broad jump will hurt his stock until pro day numbers can confirm.

The Dolphins need to give Tua more weapons to throw to on offense with Fuller, Preston Williams & Albert Wilson set to hit free agency.

Treylon didn’t have a great combine, so his stockmay take a slight tumble. He’s got massive hands and a devastating catch radius, and will cause some major mismatches. He gets some comparisons to DeMaryius Thomas and Deebo Samuel, but his RAS score is VERY similar to Philly’s JJAW. (Short shuttle not listed, is a 4.23 which drops his RAS grade to 6.12)

RAS provided by: @Mathbomb

The Chiefs are losing Tyran Mathieu to free agency, so that will be a high priority to fill such a big role.

Daxton has played at both safety and slot corner for the Wolverines, and may be asked to play a similar role again. He has elite speed and acceleration and is not afraid to tackle, but his slender size will keep him out of the box.

The Bengals offensive line is clearly the biggest need after seeing Burrow get sacked a record tying 7 times in the Super Bowl and was pressured on 43% of his dropbacks. Burrow was also sacked 19 times in the post season, which is the most in NFL history.

Converted from TE, he’s only been playing OT for 2 years giving up 1 sack in over 1300 career snaps. Has incredible feet and balance with an explosiveness that lets him shoot off the line. Arm length could be a concern.

The Lions don’t need to have a QB that needs to start right away. Goff has a contract that is unable to shed at least until 2023 making him a perfect bridge QB.

Ridder has an elite processing ability and put on a show at the combine putting up some really great numbers that have more than likely moved his stock up to QB3, over Howell and Corral. He will need to work on his ball placement, but sitting a year behind Goff could help him instead of throwing him directly to the wolves.

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